── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrea Vavassori a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Andrea Vavassori
48%52%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 86% / 14%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Andrea Vavassori
47th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Andrea Vavassori
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#130
model rank
#120
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adrian MannarinoAndrea Vavassori
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-25BeijingHardQ1Adrian Mannarino6-3 6-1