── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Lorenzo Sonego
48%52%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 56% / 44%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#107
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Grass0–1
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-1 7-6(5) |
| 2024-09-26 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 1-6 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-01-01 | United Cup | Hard | RR | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-1 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2019-06-24 | Antalya | Grass | QF | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 7-6(3) 6-3 |
| 2018-05-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 2-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |