── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Felix Auger Aliassime
13%87%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#9
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | F | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |