── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adam Walton 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Adam Walton
39%61%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 46% / 54%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Adam Walton
47th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Adam Walton
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#130
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Adrian MannarinoAdam Walton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR32Adrian Mannarino6-4 6-2
2025-02-24AcapulcoHardQ1Adam Walton6-4 6-0