── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Thiago Agustin Tirante
36%64%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
27th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#106
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ARG
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adrian Mannarino■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-31US OpenHardR128Adrian Mannarino4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3