── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jesper De Jong 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Jesper De Jong
38%62%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#84
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
NED
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Cagliari CH | Clay | R16 | Jesper De Jong | 6-3 3-6 6-1 |
| 2025-09-25 | Beijing | Hard | Q2 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |