── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Tomas Machac
24%76%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#130
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-1 6-2 |