── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Tomas Machac
38%62%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#64
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-1 6-2 |