── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Gabriel Diallo
46%54%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 18% / 82%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Gabriel Diallo
67th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Gabriel Diallo
36th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#106
model rank
#92
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
180cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adrian Mannarino■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-09's-HertogenboschGrassR32Adrian Mannarino6-4 3-6 7-5