── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Adrian Mannarino a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Juncheng Shang
55%45%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
CHN
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-6(9) 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 1-6 6-4 6-2 |