── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ben Shelton 87% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Adrian Mannarino
Ben Shelton
13%87%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Ben Shelton
99th · elite
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Ben Shelton
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#107
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Adrian Mannarino■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard3–2
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09DallasHardR16Ben Shelton7-6(2) 6-7(4) 6-3
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR32Adrian Mannarino3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 RET
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Ben Shelton6-2 6-3
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardR32Adrian Mannarino7-6(4) 1-6 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4
2023-03-20Miami MastersHardR64Adrian Mannarino6-4 3-6 6-1