── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Gea 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Arthur Gea
28%72%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Arthur Gea
44th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Arthur Gea
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#107
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Arthur Gea
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | Adrian Mannarino | 5-7 6-4 6-4 |