── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Alex Michelsen
24%76%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
72th · strong
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Alex Michelsen
88th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#24
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay0–1
Grass1–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 6-7(0) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2024-06-24 | Mallorca | Grass | R16 | Alex Michelsen | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | F | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-4 |