── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Learner Tien 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Adrian Mannarino
Learner Tien
22%78%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Adrian Mannarino
26th · below avg
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Adrian Mannarino
59th · average
Learner Tien
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
USA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Adrian Mannarino■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Adrian Mannarino | 7-5 6-4 |