── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Zverev 89% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marin Cilic
Alexander Zverev
11%89%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 7% / 93%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Alexander Zverev
99th · elite
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Alexander Zverev
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#70
model rank
#4
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
GER
198cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marin CilicAlexander Zverev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard15
Clay03
── 9 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev6-2 5-7 6-4
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev4-6 6-4 6-4
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardRRAlexander Zverev7-6(5) 7-6(1)
2018-05-14Rome MastersClaySFAlexander Zverev7-6(13) 7-5
2017-11-13Tour FinalsHardRRAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-4
2017-05-08Madrid MastersClayR32Alexander Zverev6-7(3) 6-3 6-4
2016-10-10Shanghai MastersHardR32Alexander Zverev3-6 6-3 6-2
2016-02-01MontpellierHardR16Alexander Zverev7-6(4) 7-6(1)
2015-08-03WashingtonHardQFMarin Cilic7-5 7-6(3)