── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Adrian Mannarino
64%36%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#130
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CRO
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass2–0
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | R32 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2017-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | Adrian Mannarino | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-0 |
| 2015-06-15 | Queen's Club | Grass | R32 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(3) 3-6 6-2 |
| 2007-05-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-3 |