Marin CilicMarin Cilic
6–10
head to head
Kei NishikoriKei Nishikori
── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marin Cilic 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marin Cilic
Kei Nishikori
62%38%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#70
model rank
#119
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
JPN
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marin Cilic■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard5–8
Clay0–2
Grass1–0
── 16 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-09-25TokyoHardR32Kei Nishikori6-4 3-6 6-3
2018-08-27US OpenHardQFKei Nishikori2-6 6-4 7-6(5) 4-6 6-4
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersClayQFKei Nishikori6-4 6-7(1) 6-3
2016-11-14Tour FinalsHardRRMarin Cilic3-6 6-2 6-3
2016-10-24BaselHardFMarin Cilic6-1 7-6(5)
2016-06-27WimbledonGrassR16Marin Cilic6-1 5-1 RET
2015-10-05TokyoHardQFKei Nishikori3-6 7-5 6-3
2015-08-03WashingtonHardSFKei Nishikori3-6 6-1 6-4
2014-08-25US OpenHardFMarin Cilic6-3 6-3 6-3
2014-04-21BarcelonaClayQFKei Nishikori6-1 6-3
2013-12-29BrisbaneHardQFKei Nishikori6-4 5-7 6-2
2013-02-18MemphisHardQFKei Nishikori6-4 6-2
2012-08-27US OpenHardR32Marin Cilic6-3 6-4 6-7(3) 6-3
2011-01-03ChennaiHardR32Kei Nishikori4-6 7-6(0) 6-2
2010-08-30US OpenHardR64Kei Nishikori5-7 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(3) 6-1
2008-03-13Indian Wells MastersHardR128Marin Cilic6-2 6-4