── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Marcos Giron
56%44%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Return
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Marcos Giron
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#83
model rank
#107
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
USA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Marcos Giron
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Rome Masters | Clay | R128 | Marin Cilic | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2020-10-12 | Cologne 1 | Hard | R32 | Marin Cilic | 6-2 4-6 6-3 |