── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marin Cilic 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marin Cilic
Daniel Altmaier
57%43%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 95% / 5%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Daniel Altmaier
41th · average
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Daniel Altmaier
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#70
model rank
#103
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
GER
198cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marin CilicDaniel Altmaier
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13MunichClayR32Daniel Altmaier6-2 6-3
2026-01-19Australian OpenHardR128Marin Cilic6-0 6-0 7-6(3)