── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Tomas Barrios Vera
62%38%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#121
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
CHI
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Tomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Nottingham 2 CH | Grass | QF | Marin Cilic | 6-1 6-3 |