── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Corentin Moutet
55%45%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 82% / 18%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
76th · strong
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#81
model rank
#101
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CRO
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-12 | Davis Cup QLS R2: CRO vs FRA | Clay | RR | Corentin Moutet | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Marin Cilic | W/O |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-2 6-4 |