── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marin Cilic
Corentin Moutet
46%54%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#70
model rank
#57
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CRO
country
FRA
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marin CilicCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-12Davis Cup QLS R2: CRO vs FRAClayRRCorentin Moutet7-5 6-4
2020-11-02Paris MastersHardR32Marin CilicW/O
2020-01-20Australian OpenHardR128Marin Cilic6-3 6-2 6-4