── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Felix Auger Aliassime
22%78%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#9
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
CAN
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Felix Auger Aliassime
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard2–3
Grass1–0
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(2) 7-6(2) |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 2-6 7-6(7) 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2021-06-07 | Stuttgart | Grass | F | Marin Cilic | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Marin Cilic | 6-0 3-6 6-3 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-4 |