── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Sho Shimabukuro
69%31%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
77th · strong
Sho Shimabukuro
15th · poor
Return
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Sho Shimabukuro
30th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#83
model rank
#155
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
JPN
198cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Sho Shimabukuro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(2) 6-1 |