── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Alexander Shevchenko
63%37%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 97% / 3%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#124
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
KAZ
198cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Marin Cilic | 6-1 6-3 |