── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Jack Draper
32%68%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Jack Draper
96th · elite
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#26
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CRO
country
GBR
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Marin Cilic | 6-4 6-3 1-6 6-4 |