── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Shintaro Mochizuki
78%22%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 72% / 28%
Grass: 79% / 21%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Shintaro Mochizuki
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#174
Grass
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
JPN
198cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Nottingham 2 CH | Grass | F | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-3 |