── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Raphael Collignon 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marin Cilic
Raphael Collignon
30%70%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marin Cilic
81th · strong
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Marin Cilic
47th · average
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#23
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CRO
country
BEL
198cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marin Cilic■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |