── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

Not enough rating data for a read.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Roger Federer
insufficient data
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Roger Federer
insufficient data

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
Clay
best surface
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
SUI
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kei NishikoriRoger Federer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass02
Hard26
Clay10
── 11 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassQFRoger Federer4-6 6-1 6-4 6-4
2018-11-12Tour FinalsHardRRKei Nishikori7-6(4) 6-3
2018-10-29Paris MastersHardQFRoger Federer6-4 6-4
2018-10-08Shanghai MastersHardQFRoger Federer6-4 7-6(4)
2017-01-16Australian OpenHardR16Roger Federer6-7(4) 6-4 6-1 4-6 6-3
2015-11-15Tour FinalsHardRRRoger Federer7-5 4-6 6-4
2014-11-09Tour FinalsHardRRRoger Federer6-3 6-2
2014-06-09HalleGrassSFRoger Federer6-3 7-6(4)
2014-03-19Miami MastersHardQFKei Nishikori3-6 7-5 6-4
2013-05-05Madrid MastersClayR16Kei Nishikori6-4 1-6 6-2
2011-10-31BaselHardFRoger Federer6-1 6-3