── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Mitchell Krueger
70%30%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 76% / 24%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Mitchell Krueger
9th · poor
Return
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Mitchell Krueger
10th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#183
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
USA
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Mitchell Krueger
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-06-12 | Palmas Del Mar CH | Hard | R16 | Kei Nishikori | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |