── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Thiago Monteiro
58%42%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
BRA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-13 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Kei Nishikori | 4-6 6-7(4) 7-5 6-2 6-3 |
| 2019-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 7-6(3) 6-4 |