── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jordan Thompson 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Jordan Thompson
40%60%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#80
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Grass0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-07-24 | Atlanta | Hard | R32 | Kei Nishikori | 7-6(5) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Jordan Thompson | 7-5 6-4 5-7 6-3 |
| 2017-01-02 | Brisbane | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-1 6-1 |