── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kei Nishikori
Cameron Norrie
26%74%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 52% / 48%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
GBR
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kei NishikoriCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30Hong KongHardQFKei Nishikori6-3 3-6 6-2
2021-08-02WashingtonHardR16Kei Nishikori3-6 6-3 6-3
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassR64Kei Nishikori6-4 6-4 6-0