── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Sebastian Ofner
52%48%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#136
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUT
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | Q1 | Kei Nishikori | 6-1 2-6 6-2 |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Ofner | 6-3 6-4 |