── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Aleksandar Vukic
60%40%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Aleksandar Vukic
26th · below avg
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Aleksandar Vukic
7th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#152
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Aleksandar Vukic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |