── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Flavio Cobolli 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kei Nishikori
Flavio Cobolli
22%78%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 62% / 38%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Flavio Cobolli
48th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
60th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
#25
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ITA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kei NishikoriFlavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-11Phoenix CHHardQFKei Nishikori6-2 4-6 6-4