── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Flavio Cobolli 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Flavio Cobolli
27%73%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Flavio Cobolli
41th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Flavio Cobolli
63th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#36
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ITA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Flavio Cobolli
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | Phoenix CH | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 4-6 6-4 |