── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Jacob Fearnley
62%38%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 77% / 23%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
GBR
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Jacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-31 | Davis Cup QLS R1: JPN vs GBR | Hard | RR | Jacob Fearnley | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2024-11-04 | Helsinki CH | Hard | QF | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 6-3 |