── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Mariano Navone
25%75%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Mariano Navone
28th · below avg
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Mariano Navone
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#119
model rank
#32
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
ARG
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Kei Nishikori | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |