── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Juncheng Shang
51%49%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
55th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Juncheng Shang
37th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#129
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
CHN
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Juncheng Shang
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Kei Nishikori | 6-7(3) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-12-30 | Hong Kong | Hard | SF | Kei Nishikori | 4-3 RET |
| 2024-09-18 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Juncheng Shang | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-07-24 | Atlanta | Hard | R16 | Kei Nishikori | 6-4 7-6(3) |