── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Juncheng Shang 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Kei Nishikori
Juncheng Shang
43%57%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Kei Nishikori
31th · below avg
Juncheng Shang
63th · average
Return
Kei Nishikori
77th · strong
Juncheng Shang
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#119
model rank
#96
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
JPN
country
CHN
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Kei NishikoriJuncheng Shang
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30Hong KongHardSFKei Nishikori4-3 RET
2024-09-18ChengduHardR32Juncheng Shang6-4 6-4
2023-07-24AtlantaHardR16Kei Nishikori6-4 7-6(3)