── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Michael Zheng 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Kei Nishikori
Michael Zheng
43%57%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Michael Zheng
18th · poor
Return
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Michael Zheng
65th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#126
model rank
#97
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
JPN
country
USA
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Kei Nishikori■ Michael Zheng
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Canada Masters | Hard | Q1 | Michael Zheng | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-06-12 | Palmas Del Mar CH | Hard | F | Kei Nishikori | 6-2 7-5 |