── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Trungelliti a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Kei Nishikori
52%48%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 8% / 92%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
JPN
178cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | Q2 | Marco Trungelliti | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-08-26 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Kei Nishikori | 6-1 4-1 RET |