── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Trungelliti 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Thiago Monteiro
61%39%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
57th · average
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#117
model rank
#154
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
BRA
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-07-10 | Salzburg CH | Clay | R16 | Thiago Monteiro | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-04-11 | Madrid CH | Clay | SF | Marco Trungelliti | 7-6(1) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-09-13 | Szczecin CH | Clay | R16 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-09-17 | Biella CH | Clay | QF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-1 6-2 |