── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Daniil Medvedev
15%85%
Hard: 5% / 95%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 6% / 94%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#8
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
178cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2016-07-04 | Todi CH | Clay | R16 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-2 7-5 |