── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Cristian Garin a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Cristian Garin
48%52%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 14% / 86%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
23th · below avg
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Cristian Garin
72th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CHI
178cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Cristian Garin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | Q2 | Marco Trungelliti | 7-6(3) 7-5 |
| 2013-08-05 | Rio de Janeiro CH | Clay | R16 | Cristian Garin | 6-4 6-7(2) 6-4 |