── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marco Trungelliti
Corentin Moutet
46%54%
Hard: 19% / 81%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
FRA
178cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marco Trungelliti■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayQFMarco Trungelliti4-6 6-3 6-4