── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marco Trungelliti
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
21%79%
Hard: 10% / 90%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 8% / 92%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
77th · strong
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#118
model rank
#21
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ESP
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marco Trungelliti■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–1
Hard1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-15UmagClayR16Alejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-5
2021-08-30Us OpenHardR128Marco Trungelliti5-7 6-3 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
2018-09-17Biella CHClayR32Marco Trungelliti4-6 6-3 6-4
2018-03-26Marbella CHClayR16Marco Trungelliti6-3 6-3