── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Trungelliti a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Pavel Kotov
55%45%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Pavel Kotov
38th · below avg
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Pavel Kotov
6th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#117
model rank
#140
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Pavel Kotov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Lyon CH | Clay | R32 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-7(7) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2021-04-19 | Rome 1 CH | Clay | Q1 | Marco Trungelliti | 3-6 6-4 6-1 |