── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marco Trungelliti
Daniel Merida Aguilar
25%75%
Hard: 13% / 87%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marco Trungelliti
18th · poor
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#118
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ESP
178cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marco Trungelliti■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–2
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q2 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 6-4 1-6 7-6(6) |
| 2025-06-09 | Lyon CH | Clay | F | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2025-04-07 | Madrid CH | Clay | R32 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-10-10 | Gijon | Hard | Q1 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-3 6-4 |