── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Bagnis 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Bagnis
Vasek Pospisil
71%29%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
Vasek Pospisil
12th · poor
Return
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg
Vasek Pospisil
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#181
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
CAN
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Facundo BagnisVasek Pospisil
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Facundo Bagnis6-2 3-6 6-3