── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes David Goffin 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Bagnis
David Goffin
39%61%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 5% / 95%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
David Goffin
13th · poor
Return
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg
David Goffin
78th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#141
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
BEL
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Facundo BagnisDavid Goffin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-04-22Madrid MastersClayQ1Facundo Bagnis6-2 2-6 6-3
2022-01-10SydneyHardR32David Goffin6-4 6-4