── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes James Duckworth 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Facundo Bagnis
James Duckworth
34%66%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg
James Duckworth
11th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
ARG
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Facundo BagnisJames Duckworth
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ1James Duckworth6-4 6-2
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayQ2Facundo Bagnis7-6(4) 6-1