── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Monteiro 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Facundo Bagnis
Thiago Monteiro
44%56%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 22% / 78%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Facundo Bagnis
23th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
59th · average
Return
Facundo Bagnis
20th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#179
model rank
#153
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
ARG
country
BRA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Facundo Bagnis■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay7–4
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | Q2 | Facundo Bagnis | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2024-01-22 | Punta Del Este CH | Clay | R16 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2023-10-16 | Santa Fe CH | Clay | QF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-2 6-0 |
| 2022-07-04 | Salzburg CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 3-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2019-02-11 | Buenos Aires | Clay | Q1 | Facundo Bagnis | 6-7(8) 6-4 6-4 |
| 2017-07-31 | Kitzbuhel | Clay | Q2 | Facundo Bagnis | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2016-01-18 | Rio de Janeiro CH | Clay | SF | Facundo Bagnis | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2015-11-09 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | R32 | Facundo Bagnis | 3-6 7-5 6-1 |
| 2015-10-19 | Santiago CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 7-6(10) 4-6 6-2 |
| 2015-02-23 | Buenos Aires | Clay | Q3 | Facundo Bagnis | 7-5 5-7 6-2 |
| 2013-09-16 | Campinas CH | Clay | R16 | Facundo Bagnis | 7-5 3-6 6-3 |